Why the DXY?

The DXY does not mirror the United States trade position in the global economy. It is heavily weighted to Europe, undervalues the Canadian Dollar, ignores South Korea Taiwan and by necessity China. A firm cannot settle a trade flow in the DXY nor is it particularly useful as a hedge…

US Economic Indicators Preview

The FOMC minutes of 4 November are likely to confirm that the majority of committee members still consider it warranted to maintain the fed funds rate at exceptionally low levels for an extended period, given low resource utilisation rates, subdued inflation and stable inflation expectations. There will have been some…

A Busy Week, but Little Top-Tier Data, as Markets Wind Down for US Thanksgiving

This week is relatively light of top-tier data, with the calendar instead dominated by US government supply and the upcoming Thanksgiving break. The US Treasury is scheduled to auction $118bn of Treasury notes as it continues to grapple with the financing requirement of a massive Federal deficit. The week sees…

EURUSD: The 1.4782/1.4625 Levels Keep MT Bias Higher

Even though EUR put in a negative performance the past week following its failure at the 1.5014 level, its Nov 16’09 high and its subsequent weakness, as long as its current setback maintains above the 1.4782 level, its MT rising trendline and its Nov 03’09 low at 1.4625, we look…

GBPUSD: Price Extension Envisaged

The pair followed through lower on its nearer term declines off the 1.6875 level on Friday decisively violating its short term trendline and taking out the 1.6514 level. This development continues to put GBPUSD under pressure with risk seen towards the 1.6260 level especially now that a bearish engulfing candle…