Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary

The leading economic index increased 0.3 percent in October and has risen for the past seven months. This implies modest growth will continue into next year. Yet, two elements of the gain don’t quite look like the usual recovery. One, the pace of the improvement fell sharply from the one…

The Weekly Bottom Line 1

The fourth quarter has gotten off to a slow start for the economy. Industrial production for October fell by 0.1% from September while housing starts fell by 10.6% over the same period. Given the strong growth in the industrial sector in the third quarter, the level of production in October…

European Markets Drop On ECB Withdrawal

European Trade: European shares moved lower in trade on Friday trade, following the Asian equity market that closed in the red. S&P futures moved side-ways throughout the overnight trading hours, but dropped eight points as the news that the ECB will withdraw their cash liquidity from the market over the…

Weekly Focus: Squaring Positions

At 0.69% the 2-year US bond yield is only 5bp from the low point during the crisis reached a year ago. 3-Month t-bill rates are again trading around 0%. Mainly two factors are behind this development. First of all, investors and banks are most likely reducing risk towards year-end putting…

Trichet Tempers European Rate Rally

Apart from giving the euro a slap in the face Jean Claude Trichet’s remarks about wrapping up the cheap loans awarded to the European banking system a year ago tempered the recent rally in European interest rate futures this morning. One has to be careful where to go with the…