Trading Forex requires learning technical analysis for currency pair price. Many technical indicators exist that can be used for technical analysis. In the forex trading strategy presented here we use two main indicators and one more indicator that is used as confirmation for the price trend.
The two indicators that are used in the strategy are pivot point analysis and stochastic indicator. The confirmation indicator is the relative strength index (RSI). Let us see first an overview of these indicators and see then how are they applied together in the trading strategy to make decision on whether to buy or sell.
The pivot point analysis involves determining support and resistance level. The support level is defined as a level the currency pair cannot go below it for a large time period. Similarly, the resistance level is defined as a level the currency pair cannot go above it for a large time period. The pivot point analysis defines many levels at different strengths. The higher support or resistance levels the strongest level which means it is more likely that the currency price reverse direction at this level. This is the first indicator in our forex trading strategy.
The stochastic is an indicator that determines the degree of increase or decrease for a given period. The higher the value, the more the currency price increases over the period. The lower the value, the less the price is going. If the price is continuously rising over the specified period, the stochastic will be high for a large period and this is called overbought. Te reverse is true and will result in oversold condition. If this indicator is more than 80 % for large period, we say this is overbought condition. Also if it is less than 20% t is oversold condition. This is the second indicator that will be used in our forex trading strategy.
The RSI is like the stochastic but uses different calculations. It can be used to determine the overbought and oversold conditions. It is also used to determine the price trend. If it is more than 50 % the price is going high and the reverse is true. This is a confirmation indicator in our forex trading strategy.
The forex trading strategy given uses the pivot point analysis and the stochastic as the main indicators. The trader must first check the stochastic indicator. If it is high for long time (especially more than 80%) then it is overbought condition. Similarly, if the stochastic is low for long time(less than 20 %), then it is oversold condition. The trader must expect a reverse in the price when those two conditions are seen.
Once overbought or oversold conditions are seen on the price curve, the trader can see the pivot level at which the price reaches. The more the level the price reaches, the more likely that the price will reverse. For example, if the price is overbought and we see that the price reaches the R3 level or a higher resistance level, then a very strong probability that the price at certain point will reverse. The price also at this condition will change very strong which will make many pips.
The entry point of the trade at this forex strategy can be determined by the RSI. When the price is overbought or oversold and reached the highest pivot level (or break out that level) the RSI can be monitored to determine when to enter a trade. If it is higher than 50 %, the price is going high. If it less than 50 %, the price is going low.