Tag Archives: Economic

Economic Forecast For 2011 And The Effect on International Shipping

There is a lot of good news in the 2011 economic forecasts made by experts in this field, especially when it comes to trade and that will have a big affect on the international shipping world. We’re talking about international freight and intermodal trucking throughout the Midwest not to mention the world. That means the supply chain will be busy in the next year.

Let’s look at the specific numbers. First of all, imports will climb in the next year, according to economic experts. Households are wanting more and more good like footwear and apparel, televisions, and toys, just to name a few. These goods are typically shipping to the United States from Mexico, China, or those countries that had in years past signed onto the Central America Free Trade Agreement. International shipping and all of the transportation and other industries connected to it will continue to grow in 2011. The increase in imports, however, will also have an effect on things like oil prices, which also makes an impact on the trucking industry because of its reliance on fuel.

There is some really great news when it comes to economic growth in general. Business investment and consumer spending are expected to continue its growth into the new year. Companies have increased their equipment purchases this past year and will continue to do so in 2011. The equipment has to come to the business, whether it’s a factory or retail outlet somehow. That could be by ship or a chassis, which is a container car on a train or a tractor trailer. International freightwill undoubtedly get a boost from this economic growth. Drayage will be very important in the upcoming year, especially in the shipping industry and logistics.

With all this positive news, there are bound to be some negatives. The minor increases in growth we’ve seen already were because companies were building their inventory. This, however, is bound to slow in the next quarter, judging by the current pace of spending by consumers. That will have a major impact on the international freight and the trucking world. The supply chain will likely slow again.

Still, economic experts expect that unemployment in the United States will remain relatively high, keeping the economy from growing by leaps and bounds. The Fed expects to see a much lower than expected expansion of the American economy. Unemployment will get slightly better, but that’s only a small comfort. The jobless rate will go no lower than 9 percent. The rate’s at 9.6 these days.

Overall, the nation’s leading economists expect the economy to expand by less than 3 percent in 2011. This year, the economy grew by only 2.6 percent, very disappointing by all concerned.

While there has been a modest increase in consumer spending, shoppers are still holding onto their cash for the most part, especially in the housing, international trade, and manufacturing sectors. Once people start feeling more comfortable in their job, that’s when the economy will start to grow at a noticeable rate. Then all of the industries connected with these industries, specifically international freight and trucking industries will also grow.

You can read all about what’s in store for today’s international and domestic shipping world at the www.utsgrp.com, the website for today’s industry leaders. Universal Transportation Services Group’s website can give you all the information you need to plan in these interesting economic times.

Economic Reports Analysis

 It is common for novice traders, when it comes to making first steps in stock market analysis, refer to the news. Traders watch CNN, read Barons, browse Yahoo Finance and look through other financial media sources by hunting for a professional investments opinion that may help them in their investments. By some reason, when traders lose money nobody of them blame media for that.

When it comes to the analysis of the financial news through the popular media sources, I would recommend be very cautious. You may try to consider following facts: the media states the facts after it happens and the media is always right.

As an example it could be recommended monitoring media reaction on the FOMC rate announcements. When FED increases rates and market goes up media tells us that DOW, Nasdaq and S&P 500 went up because the investors are encouraged by the rate increase as an indicator of growing economy. When FED increases rates, however, the stock market declines, the media makes announcement that the same indexes (DOW, Nasdaq and S&P 500) declined because the investors are disappointed by the rate increase since it mean possibility of slowdown in borrowing and economy growth. It is not recommended to build a trading decision on similar announcements and trying to build a trading system or strategy on that.

As a rule, FED announcements and other economic reports are predetermined and majority of investors knows what to expect from them far before they are released. In addition all these reports and announcements are focused to reflect the longer-term trend of the economy. Whether it is unemployment report, rate increase, consumer sentiment, or anything else it is not something momentum that may change over a few hours. The short-term (couple of hours) stock market swings after an economic report release is actions of speculators who are trying to make fast backs in volatile trading and in no case it reflects the sentiment of long-term institutional traders who those reports are aimed for. Yet, it became custom for media to judge about affect of the financial even on the stock market trend as soon as possible (it is their completion) and base their judgment on the short-term market reaction.

It is not about trusting media or not. In the media world completion makes editors to publish news as soon as possible, find some sensations and some dirt. If you are an investor it could be a good idea to take a look at economic reports by yourself, check charts, make your own analysis and only then put your own money into a work.