US Dollar Still Feeling the Pinch

US Dollar Still Feeling the PinchThe Euro had edged over the $1.10 level on Thursday, as FX dealers still consider deserting ship on the US Dollar. In the previous month, the US Dollar had surged about 5% against the Euro, yet this week its positive energy has blurred, with investigators communicating some carefulness that the year-long rally may be at long last coming to the end of its course. Indeed, even disregarding the solid probability that the Federal Reserve Bank appears to be set to raise premium rates, money strategists trust that probability has as of now been to a great extent calculated in.

As reported at 11:26 am (BDT) in London, the EUR/USD was exchanging at $1.0933, an addition of 0.60%, moving far from the session low of $1.0921 and back toward the day’s high of $1.1005. Against the Japanese Yen, the dollar was lower with the USD/JPY pair exchanging at 123.81 Yen, a loss of 0.12%.

Kiwi Lifted by RBNZ Surprise

Among monetary standards, the New Zealand Dollar encountered the most noteworthy development, with a 1.5% ascent after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand brought premium rates down to 3% from 3.25%; some FX brokers had been cheerful that the cut would be bigger given the RBNZ’s late talk. The Kiwi Dollar had as of late struck a 6-year trough and however the RBNZ had said that they were endeavoring to debilitate the coin, it appears that that sort of debilitating was an excessive amount to shoulder. The NZD/USD was exchanging at $0.6687, an increase of 0.70% and well off the session high of $0.6696.

Use Leverage with Realistic Attitude

single forex Like it or not forex trading business risk is very high. Most traders must have lost money. And worse, not only the capital loss suffered but will also be wiped clean if not very clever to take advantage of leverage.

To become a successful forex trader, trading suppose looking like a business in general. That is, the benefits still requires a process and time. Capital may not $ 50 you invest in your forex account increased to $ 20,000 in an instant. It is likely to remain there, but very few people are lucky like that. So do not rely on luck.

One of the advantages of forex investing is you can borrow as much money as you like from the broker to use this leverage facility. However, it is important to remember that borrowing money to trade will not only increase profits, but will also increase your losses. There is no universal rule to declare how much to borrow. Many new traders try to borrow more funds, if possible. And of course, it depends on the type of strategy used.

If you have a $ 10,000 trading account, most brokers will direct you to open a position with a minimum value of $ 500,000. If you buy a pair of the USD, the ratio is 50: 1. Position size is 50 times the size of your account.

Many new traders start with a small account balance. The same principle can be applied to a $ 100 account trading for $ 5,000. The position of the minimum allowed by the broker generally $ 10,000, but they still can provide tolerance for traders to open an account with $ 100.

Brokers do not mind giving loans because they know that 99% of clients who do this will be a loss. It is indeed true and realistic attitude and a real happening.

Treat forex as if a business. What goal? Another not to have a realistic attitude. Compare with the stock market or mutual funds. The average profit of the two types of investment is less than 10% per year. If you can make 30% per year on forex trading, it is higher than the stock or mutual fund! But, do not expect to generate $ 1,000 per month from your account that is only worth $ 100. This is almost certainly not going to happen, and ultimately went bankrupt.

Forex Trading: How Leverage Works

Forex MarketThe concept of leverage is very profitable in forex trading, but also can be dangerous if you are not careful in using it, especially if you are using very high leverage (over leverage). High leverage will cause the minimum margin or minimum guarantees that you pay each time fewer and fewer transactions. This will psychologically affect your trading.

One character successful forex traders are those who can eliminate the influence of emotions when trading. When people talk about the advantages of forex trading, the first time they put forward is usually a high leverage facility, or even very high. With certain leverage, you can open the tens or even hundreds of positions with relatively little capital. This can be done only by a relatively small margin collateral, and that makes one of the charms of forex trading. Nowadays many brokers that offer leverage of 1: 100, 1: 200, 1: 400 and even 1: 1000.

If you are trading on a broker with facilities leverage 1: 1000, then for a contract value of USD 10,000 (commonly called a mini lot) you only pay a margin of (USD 10,000 / 1000) = $ 10 for each transaction (0.1 lot for mini lot ), with the value per pip (pip value) as determined by the value of the contract mini lots (eg for EUR / USD with a contract value of USD 10,000, its value per pip is $ 1). Thus if your capital USD 500 and you open 30 positions (each 0.1 lot) with leverage 1: 1000, the total margin that you need only $ 10 x 30 = $ 300.

If for any position you derive profit of 10 pips, then your total profit is $ 10 x 30 = $ 300, or 60% of your capital. Conversely, if you are experiencing an average loss of 10 pips, then your loss is also 60% of your capital, and in the forex markets such events can take place in a matter of minutes, even if your broker spreads given is zero (no spread).

Psychologically, the higher the leverage you use, then you will be more brave (a lot) in open trading positions, because the value of the minimum margin that you will pay less. Just as if you are driving a car, driving with a speed of 60 km / h and 200 km / h is certainly very different in anticipation if anything happens. Semaki speed you drive, the greater the risk you face when things are not profitable. In many cases, accidents due to driving at a very high speed end in death.

Trading forex with very high leverage can be likened to driving with a very high speed. The risk is big enough. As you know that the brokers lend to you for the rest of the contract value which should be reduced to the minimum margin that you pay. In case you are trading mini lots with leverage 1: 1000, the broker lends USD 10,000 – USD 10 = USD 9.990 for every 0.1 lot (for mini lot) that you open. Have you ever wondered why the brokers do not charge interest on loans to you even if such trading position you hold for days or even weeks?

Oil Price linked with Forex

Forex MarketPredicting where the direction of movement of the market is the key to be able to get profit in forex trading, but it is not an easy thing. Professional forex traders understand that the forex trading world has a broad scope is not limited to the world of forex.

In fact, the movement of currencies is affected by many factors: supply and demand, politics, interest rates, economic growth, and so on. More specifically, the growth ekonomomi and exports of a country is closely connected with the country’s domestic industry, then its currency to a particular country has a high correlation with commodity prices.

Three major currencies that have strong relationships with commodity prices is the Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and New Zealand dollar. Other currencies are affected by commodity prices but have a weaker correlation are the Swiss franc and Japanese yen. By knowing the currency which has a close correlation with the price movement of a particular commodity can help traders predict market movements. In this discussion we will see the correlation between oil prices and the currency that you can use the following information in forex trading.
Oil and the Canadian Dollar

In recent years, commodity prices fluctuate quite large. Oil is at $ 60 per barrel in 2006 and jumped to $ 147.27 per barrel in 2008 before falling to $ 40 per barrel in the first quarter of 2009 and then increased to more than $ 80 in 2011.

With the many countries in the world are experiencing a recession, trends in commodity prices may be a factor that distinguishes between further deterioration or improvement in the economy faster.
Oil is a major requirement in the world, at least for the moment, many people in the developed world is in dire need of this commodity. In February 2009, the price of oil is 70% below the highest number of $ 147.12 in July 2008.

The decline in oil prices negatively impacted the oil producers, while consumers benefit in purchasing power. The opposite occurred in early 2008 when oil prices reached record highs, oil producers got many advantages while declining consumer purchasing power.

There are several reasons that may explain the decline in oil prices, which are the increase in the value of the dollar (oil is still much that is valued in dollars) and weaker demand. As the oil-exporting countries, Canada was devastated by the decline in demand, while Japan as a major oil importer benefit.

Between 2006 – 2009, the correlation between the Canadian dollar and oil prices of approximately 80%. In everyday correlations are not too visible, but in the long-term correlation is quite strong stretcher, thus the value of the Canadian dollar is quite influenced by the price of oil.

Canada is the 7th country’s largest producer of crude oil, and continue to climb. In 2000, Canada surpassed Saudi Arabia as an oil supplier to the United States. That is not too much common knowledge, Canada is a country that has the 2nd largest oil reserves, under Saudi Arabia. Location closer and uncertain political conditions in the Middle East and South America make Canada a country of interest for the supply of oil to the United States. Canada does not only serve the demand of oil for the United States, but also from China and other countries.

Diagram 1 shows the positive correlation between oil and the Canadian dollar. It is not surprising that many investors using oil prices as a leading indicator for the price movement of CAD / USD. Keep in mind that based on historical data are negative correlation, when the price of oil increases, the movement of the USD / CAD down, and when oil prices are declining, the movement of the USD / CAD will go up.

Diagram 1: The correlation of oil prices and the movement of the CAD / USD from January 2005 until March 2009.

Some Forex brokers allow you to trade oil, gold, and other commodities, so you can use the diagram provided in the trading platform. You can monitor the price of oil on the Bloomberg website.
Oil and Japan’s economy

On the other side of Japan which imports almost all its oil needs (compare with the United States imported approximately 50%). Until 2011, Japan is the third largest oil importer under the United States and China. Japan’s lack of natural resources, thus requiring the import of crude oil, natural gas, and other energy sources, making the country highly affected by changes in oil prices. Japan also lacks the ability to switch to nuclear power source because it requires a lot of imported uranium as a resource for nuclear reactors. By 2008, the country’s dependence on imported energy sources exceeds 84%. Oil covers 49% of its energy needs, 20% coal, 13% nuclear, 14% natural gas, hydroelectric power 3%, renewable resources 1%. Thus, when oil prices soared, the Japanese economy will have trouble.

The influence of oil prices on the CAD / JPY
From the point of view of exports and imports of oil, the currency pair is deeply influenced by the movement of oil prices is the Canadian dollar against the Japanese yen (CAD / JPY).

Diagram 2 illustrates the close correlation between oil prices and CAD / JPY. Often, the oil price is the leading indicator (as with USD / CAD) for the movement of CAD / JPY. With oil prices continued to decline during this period, CAD / JPY broke through the level of 100 to 76.


Diagram 2: The correlation between oil prices and the movement of the CAD / JPY from January 2005 until March 2009.

The best way to use commodity in forex trading is to pay attention to oil price movements and observe how quickly the forex market will react, although in general there will be a slight lag (time difference) in the forex market response to commodity price movements. Not hurt you follow the development of the oil commodity prices when you are trading currency of the country is strongly influenced by oil import-export activities.

Forex trading strategies

Bullish  Trend For U.S. DollarAnyone who wants to seriously in the Forex business needs to have a Forex trading system that suits them, but do not have to always start this business to build your own Forex trading system.

Why try and build your own Forex trading strategy when you can benefit from other traders and imitate ideas or concepts other traders trading system that has been experienced?

It is very easy to do and there are some pretty good Forex strategies out there for your example. Some of the Forex strategies are free and some are very expensive, but the price tag does not always reflect the true value of a Forex trading system. However, many of these systems that will not really work for you.

What are the talk here is your ability to effectively use trading system that you get from other traders. You must use a system that fits your lifestyle and personality. If you have a job (not trading Forex), Forex trading system that requires you to check your screen all day will not be appropriate for you. You will be distracted at work and will miss the opportunity to make money, or even worse, you will not be able to close the trade effectively and could lose money.

Some Forex trading system has the potential to lose 20, 30 or 40% of your capital before it could be profitable. Can you handle a system that could be detrimental to half of your trading capital before it can make a profit? Or, are you ready to get 8 to 10 trading loss in a row before you have a trading profit? Some of the best traders in the world lose more money than 50% of the total trade they make. These are all important things to consider when you want to follow the trading systems of other traders. Select different systems out there that fit your trading style, and then trying to build your own Forex trading system.

There is a very good trading method and famous by Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt and sometimes referred to as “Turtle Trading” is one of the Forex trading system is excellent. They benefit more than 20 to 100% per year by using this system. But, if other traders can use their trading system? No way! Dennis and Eckhardt also lost more than 60% of the total trade they make.

Once you know what type of Forex trading system that will work for you, check the components that make it work. If you are a new trader, or even experienced, how likely you are to receive an entirely new concept? There are some traders who are very smart and successful out there. Why not use their ideas? Consider back Dennis and Eckhardt, their system is based on the method of “breakout”. I know most traders can not trade using the exact same method with them, but other traders can take the example of their system to confirm the trend.
All good Forex trading system has three basic:

1. Rules Log in
2. Money Management
3. Rule Out

Learn from Forex trading systems out there, wearing their concepts, and take their ideas. It will put you on the path that will make you a successful trader.