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No “Definite Formula” In Forex Trading

No “Definite Formula” In Forex Trading
Anyone who has spent any amount of time trading Forex will tell you that there is no “sure formula”, or one indicator, method, strategy, or system that will give you forex trading profits 100% of the time. In fact, a consistently profitable trader will be more likely to tell you that losing is as much a part of trading as winning.

But as shady brokers love to inflate the idea of getting people to open forex accounts and hope for an eternal wellspring for humanity, there is no shortage of trading amateurs and pros alike who continue to believe in a one-pan plan for profitability.

Here are three reasons why you’ll have better luck being the first man (or woman) to reach the sun than discovering the “sure formula” for forex trading:

1. No one can be prepared for ALL the uncertainties of the market.
One of the advantages of trading forex is that the bajillion factors that move currencies make it difficult for any individual or group to influence price action over a long period of time.
Unfortunately, this also makes it more difficult for traders to predict future price action.

Unless you get a superpower that lets you know what previous central bankers and economic influencers would say; warn you about natural disasters and ensuing terrorist attacks, or prepare for similar circumstances, and you won’t find a definitive formula any time soon.

2. People drive markets.
At least for now. Although mechanical trading systems, in general, have gained popularity over the last few years, humans still control the ebb and flow of the forex market.

Reasons Why There Is No “Definite Formula” In Forex Trading

Human behavior is one of the reasons why we still see trading opportunities, where the price does not reflect its value based on available data and existing market themes.

The daily multiplied scenario will leave us with an unexpected mix of potential price reactions.

3. No strategy is profitable in ALL trading conditions.
Those who have spent some time with the markets know that, like human behavior, there are patterns that tend to repeat themselves on charts.

EUR/USD may react to Stochastic’s signals and trade in the 100-pip range for days. Likewise, AUD/JPY can be counted on to bounce lower from a retest of the 100 SMA.

But what if the pattern ends and the price switches to another pattern? Most trading systems only work well until the price shifts into another pattern. Constant shifts in trading conditions and the unpredictable timing of their occurrence make it difficult for traditional technical tools to be reliable all day every day.

It takes wisdom to spot changing patterns and to identify which strategies will yield profits.

Just because there are no indicators 100% doesn’t mean you can’t be profitable trading forex. There are those who can trade full time and even more who are part time traders and are satisfied with consistent profits.

The key is controlling your risk. Since you can’t get rid of them, the least you can do is fully understand how margin trading works and learn proper risk management.

MOST COMMON TYPES OF FOREX MARKET ANALYSIS

1.  Fundamentals
Forex fundamentals are largely centered around currency interest rates. This is due to the fact that interest rates have a considerable effect on the forex market. Other fundamental factors include such as gross domestic product, inflation, manufacturing, economic growth activity. However, whether other fundamental releases are good or bad is less important than how they affect the country’s interest rate.

Traders reviewing fundamental releases should keep in mind how they may affect future interest rate movements. When an investor is in risk-seeking mode, money follows yield (currencies offering higher interest rates), and higher rates can mean more investment. When investors are in a risk-adverse mentality, money leaves the yield for safe-haven currencies.

2 . Technical
Forex technical analysis involves looking at patterns in price history to determine higher probability times and places to enter a trade and exit a trade. Consequently, technical analysis in forex is one of the most widely used types of analysis.

Because FX is one of the largest and most liquid markets, moves on the charts from price action generally provide clues to hidden supply and demand levels. Other patterned behavior such as which currency is trending the strongest can be gleaned by reviewing price charts.

Other technical studies can be carried out through the use of indicators. Many traders prefer to use indicators because the signals are easy to read, and it makes forex trading simpler.

Technical versus fundamental analysis in forex is a widely debated topic. There is no one right answer to the question which type of analysis is better and traders tend to adopt one, or a combination of both, in their analysis.

3.  Sentiments
Forex sentiment is another very popular form of analysis. When you see sentiment heavily positioned in one direction, it means most traders are already committed to that position.

More astute traders will analyze retail sentiment as well as sentiment at the institutional level. Senior Analyst Tyler Yell explains how traders can analyze Commitment of Traders (CoT) reports for clues about how the institutional market is positioned and how to apply this analysis to their trading analysis.

5 things to ask when embarking on a retirement plan

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Many Americans worry about how much money they will have when they retire. While you may have a good income now, your current savings probably won’t last long when you retire if you don’t have a savings plan. The following questions to ask yourself when starting a retirement plan or trying to determine if your current plan is sufficient.

How long do I have until retirement and how long must my savings last? The first thing you need to do is determine when you want to retire. Subtract your current age from your desired retirement age to find out how many years you need to save up. Now you need to figure out how long to use this retirement plan. Since no one knows exactly how long they will live, plan to turn 100; You will likely have a lot of savings during your retirement. All of these are important pieces of information to know as you start planning your retirement. Some plans offer an income lifetime, while others only last until the money you deposited and the interest you earned are used up.

How much money can I put aside for retirement each month? This is where it comes in handy to have a budget. If you don’t already have one, consider starting one. No matter how old you are, now is the time to save. The longer you wait to save, the less money you have for retirement. Find out how much you can afford to save each month and how much you will have by the time you retire. If you have 20 years left to retire and save $ 50 per month for the entire period, you will have saved $ 12,000 by the time you retire. This amount will not be enough to make you through into retirement, so plan for more per month in the future as your income increases.

How much risk am I willing to take? This is a very important question when deciding on a retirement plan. Some 401 (k) s, IRAs, and other retirement plans are invested in the market so you run the risk of losing money if the market falls. Other plans, such as fixed annuities and index universal life insurance, have no market risk, so you can earn interest without risking your money in the market. You may need to speak to a financial professional to determine how much risk you are comfortable with.

What if I need early access to the money? When choosing a retirement plan, it is always good to keep potential emergencies in mind. If you get sick or injured, you may have medical bills or you want to help your child pay for college. Many retirement plans have restrictions and penalties for getting early access to your money, so you need to make sure you understand the restrictions and fees that your retirement plan offers. Index universal life insurance policies allow you to borrow while IRAs, 401 (k) s, annuities, and other plans may not be as flexible.

Do I want to leave an inheritance to my family when I’m gone? Many people would like to leave money for their families but never really make a plan for it. Some retirement plans can be passed on to your loved ones tax-free in the event of death, while others cannot. If you choose to have a retirement plan where you can’t pass your money on, consider getting life insurance so that your loved ones can pay your last-minute expenses and have an inheritance.

Retirement planning is one of the most important financial decisions you will ever make, but many people don’t take the time to consider all of the options in order to find the best plan for them.

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Source by Greg Brunick

Crypto TREND 2017-01

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Everyone has heard how Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies turned those who bought a year ago into millionaires. Profits of 1,000% or more are not only possible, but common with many of these cryptocurrencies. Someone who bought bitcoin for less than $ 500 in May 2016 would have made a 1,400% profit in about 17 months. Then in the past few days we saw Bitcoin lose nearly $ 1,000. To say these cryptocurrencies are volatile would be a massive understatement.

Since the introduction of Bitcoin in 2008, we at Trend News have been skeptical of the viability of cryptocurrencies as they pose a very clear threat to governments that want to see and tax all transactions. But while we may still be wary of the actual cryptocurrencies, we are very much aware of the potential of the underlying technology that powers these electronic currencies. In fact, we believe that this technology will significantly change the way data is managed and that it will affect every sector of the global economy, much like the Internet has affected the media.

Here are some questions and answers to get us started …

Q: What are cryptocurrencies?

The best-known cryptocurrency (CC) is BITCOIN. It was the first CC launched in 2008. Today there are more than 800 CCs including Ethereum, Litecoin, Dash, Zcash, Ripple, Monero, and they are all “virtual”. There are no “physical” coins or currencies.

Q: How do CCs work?

CCs are virtual currencies that exist in very large distributed databases. These databases use BLOCKCHAIN ​​technology. Since every blockchain database is widespread, it is considered immune to hacking as there is no central point of attack and every transaction is visible to everyone on the network. Each CC has a group of administrators, often referred to as “miners”, who validate transactions. A CC called Ethereum uses “smart contracts” to validate transactions. Crypto TREND will publish more details in the upcoming news.

Q: What is BLOCKCHAIN?

Blockchain is the technology on which all CCs are based. Every transaction for buying, selling or exchanging CCs is entered into a BLOCK which is added to the chain. This technology is complex and will not be discussed here, but it has the potential to revolutionize the financial services industry by making transactions quick and easy, reducing or eliminating fees. The technology is also being tested for applications in many other industries.

Q: Are CC Exchanges regulated by the government?

Most of the time the answer is NO which is a huge draw of this market for some users. It’s the “Wild West” right now, but most developed country governments are studying this market to decide what regulation might be needed. A big decision is whether to treat CCs as currency or as a commodity / security. Canada and the US have so far made CCs legal, but the reporting and tax implications remain fluid. Crypto TREND will follow these developments and report on them.

Q: How do I invest in this market?

You can buy, sell and trade CCs using the services of specialized “exchanges” that act as brokers. You start by choosing an exchange, setting up an account, and transferring fiat currency to your account. You can then BUY and SELL your CC orders. There are many exchange opportunities around the world. Opening an account is pretty easy and these exchanges all have their own rules for initial funding and withdrawals.

Crypto trend will recommend CC Exchanges in the future.

Q: Where do I keep my CC?

In order to be able to move your cryptocurrencies freely and pay bills, you need a digital wallet. These wallets are available in different formats, e.g. B. desktop, cloud-based, hardware (USB), mobile phone and paper. Many of them are FREE, but security is a big factor as nobody wants to lose their wallet or get stolen. Crypto TREND will recommend digital wallets in the future.

Q: What can I do with my CC?

In addition to investing in CC products, you can also use cryptocurrencies for some financial transactions like transferring money and paying bills. The list of companies accepting cryptocurrencies is growing rapidly and includes big hitters like Microsoft, GAP, JC Penny, Expedia, Shopify, Bloomberg.com, Dish Network, Zynga, Subway, and WordPress.

Q: What’s next?

To start off, we’ll keep each of the Crypto TREND articles short and keep the scope of each one as narrow as possible. As mentioned earlier, we believe that cryptocurrency technology will be a game changer and potential investment opportunities like this one will pop up once or twice in a lifetime. Make no mistake, an early investment in this sector is only for your most speculative capital, money that you can afford to lose.

Even if you don’t want to invest right now, understanding this new disruptive technology early on can benefit you from our recommendations in an advantageous position.

Expect more news and specific recommendations from Crypto TREND as we embark on this journey into an initially unfamiliar jungle. This is a volatile market and may not appeal to all investors, however, Crypto TREND will be your guide when you are ready.

Stay tuned!

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Source by Martin Straith

Day trading with the Camarilla equation

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Discovered in 1989 by a semi-legendary bond trader named Nick Stott, it is purportedly a secret day trading formula that will help your day trading reach new heights with minimal risk. Or so goes the story.

Origins of the Camarilla equation

The ‘Camarilla’ equation was discovered in 1989 during day trading by Nick Stott, a successful bond trader in the financial markets.

The equation creates 8 levels that are designed to predict these turning points so that the trader can benefit from them. The equation uses nothing more than the opening, closing, high and low levels of the previous trading day and some interesting math to create those supports and resistances.

Trading the signals

Now these levels are numbered L1-4 for the supports and H1-4 for the resistors, but it is really the L3, L4, H3 and H4 that are most important.

When the price level hits the H3 level, the theory behind the Camarilla equation is that there is strong resistance at that point and that a SHORT trade should be made with a stop loss at the H4 level.

Conversely, there is strong support when the price falls to the L3 level and a LONG trade with a stop loss at the L4 level is the recommendation.

Breakout opportunities

While levels H4 and L4 should normally be reserved for setting stop losses on the above trades, there will occasionally be a point where these points will be broken. If this breakout is sustained over a longer period of time and the price is still moving, a LONG or SHORT trade should be entered.

These trades are not that common, but could produce massive profits (this is what the Camarilla equation suggests).

Select entry point with Camarilla equation

There are two entry points to consider when using the Camarilla equation. First, you could trade once the market hits either the L3 or H3 levels and go AGAINST the current trend, but there is a greater risk that the trend will continue and you will lose if this is your preferred method.

The alternative is to wait after the market breaks the L3 or H3 levels until the opposite actually happens, and enter the trade as soon as the market crosses the appropriate level again. That way, you can trade WITH the trend, which should prove to be a safer option.

So does it work?

If you are interested in whether or not the Camarilla equation offers a viable trading method, you can follow my experiment which tests the given levels for the FTSE 100, Dow Jones and DAX 30 stock markets.

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Source by Stephen Waller